One Essential Stock Screen

Recs

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Panic 2008... Profit 2009!

Fool -- Now's the time to invest! David and Tom Gardner's new book reveals their strategy for million dollar wealth.

Not long ago, I sat down with Motley Fool CEO Tom Gardner, who, without realizing it, played the part of summertime Santa Claus.

Like an eccentric playboy tossing money in the air, Tom threw out some of the best and most actionable investing advice that I had ever heard.

And just like any rational person standing next to that eccentric billionaire, I was furiously taking notes so I could pick up everything he tossed out.

Setting a high bar
Of course, Tom's record speaks for itself. As the co-advisor of the Motley Fool Stock Advisor investment service, his recommendations have returned an average of 35% versus 5% for the market since 2002.

So, as an opportunistic learner, I gleaned every bit of applicable investing knowledge I could from that meeting. And boy, the lessons learned have proven most helpful.

What I learned
"Keep it simple, stupid" is an adage that we hear often enough, but rarely implement in our lives. For some reason (good or bad), we humans just love to complicate things. That's fine if you're Faulkner writing The Sound and the Fury, but as an investor, overcrowding the brain can lead to murky results.

The instinct to add complexity where none is needed is precisely the problem -- and it frequently keeps smart investors out of the market. Whether it's constructing highly detailed financial models or constantly adding new elements to the investing thesis, an unneeded complexity throws the baby out with the bathwater -- and it simply gets in the way.

As the great French writer and aviator, Antoine de Saint-Exupery, said, "A designer knows he has achieved perfection not when there is nothing left to add, but when there is nothing left to take away." The same is true of investing.

3 rules
Keeping it simple, Tom asks three straightforward questions when evaluating an investment. Here they are:

1. Is this company delighting the customer? Look at what Research In Motion (Nasdaq: RIMM) has done for the corporate consumer and corporate productivity. Most people need coffee in the morning, but not everyone needs to spend $5 on it -- that's why Starbucks (Nasdaq: SBUX) focused on pleasing its patrons first and, in doing so, has changed the coffee industry. Your investments should be doing everything possible to make every customer a repeat customer.

2. Are the fundamental economics of this business beautiful? Unfortunately, some companies will go to hell and back trying to please their customers -- but they'll do so in vain because the underlying economics of their business are just not good enough. JetBlue (Nasdaq: JBLU) is a great example. Airlines are a notoriously difficult industry in which to make money. I'd venture to say that Whole Foods (Nasdaq: WFMI) is facing similar difficulties in the low-margin grocery business. No matter what a company does to please customers, the potential to consistently make a healthy profit must also be there.

3. Does this company have room to grow? I think we all can agree that Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) delights it customers and runs a fundamentally attractive business. But Coca-Cola has already had a tremendous run. That's not to say you won't earn a healthy return by investing today -- but trees can't grow to the sky and Coca-Cola can only get so much bigger than it already is. This stands in contrast to a company like Under Armour (NYSE: UA), which can say yes to questions 1, 2, and 3 -- and that's where Tom sees real potential.

Foolish bottom line
Is this too simple a screen? Maybe. Does Tom ask more of his investments than these three questions? I'm sure he does. But if you can categorically answer "yes" to each of these questions about a potential investment, you're off to a great start -- because those are the great businesses.

You can ask these questions of your own investments -- and you should -- but if you'd like to see which companies Tom says yes to, then look no further than The Motley Fool's Stock Advisor service. You'll find out why Morningstar (Nasdaq: MORN) can roundly answer "yes" to Tom's questions -- and it's a big reason why we're so darn excited about it. You can get a free, 30-day trial to the service -- with no obligation to subscribe -- by clicking here.

Nick Kapur owns shares of Morningstar. Whole Foods, Morningstar, and Starbucks are Stock Advisor recommendations. Coca-Cola and Starbucks are Inside Value choices. Under Armour is a Motley Fool Hidden Gems pick and a Rule Breakers pick. The Motley Fool owns shares of Starbucks, Under Armour, and Morningstar. The Fool says yes to its disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On September 05, 2008, at 4:34 PM, ashercarter wrote:

    How do you get into the stock screen? what;s the name of the web site?

  • Report this Comment On September 08, 2008, at 12:54 AM, baekeland100 wrote:

    I like the 3 questions Tom's asks of his stocks before placing his money on the table, so to speak. But I am a little puzzled by the remark concerning Coca-Cola and the "tremendous run" it already has undergone. It gives one the feeling that China and India are already in the mix when it comes to Coca-Cola and that further growth for this "Giant" has already been reached. When time and time again, I read Fool article's about how much more room there is yet to be seen in just these two markets alone.

    Does this mean Coca-Cola's growth cannot once again have a tremendous run in these two aforementioned markets, again?

  • Report this Comment On September 08, 2008, at 1:29 PM, Seafairer wrote:

    Is Tom G really a billionaire, or is that just for sometime in the future?....

  • Report this Comment On September 10, 2008, at 1:27 PM, HollyBolly20 wrote:

    Louis & Joel Kestenbaum/Fortis Property Group close sale of Galleria Towers I, II & III in Dallas

    One of the Largest U.S. Investment Transactions to Date in 2008

    Jones Lang LaSalle announced the firm’s capital markets experts have completed the sale of Galleria Towers I, II & III on behalf of Brooklyn, New York-based Fortis Property Group, LLC to Los-Angeles-based Cannon Commercial. Sources close to the transaction estimate the closing price was in excess of $300 million.

    “We acquired the Galleria Towers from Blackstone (which acquired them from Trizec Properties) in November 2006, and maximized value by aggressively pushing rental rates while at the same time increasing the occupancy from around 90% to 98%,” said Fortis Chairman Louis Kestenbaum. Louis Kestenbaum is the father of Joel Kestenbaum, also of Fortis Property. “The disposition of this asset furthers our goals of maximizing investor returns and geographically diversifying the holdings within our portfolio. We achieved close to 100% profit on our equity investment in the Galleria Towers over a one and a half year holding period, and attained similar returns on our recent sale of International Plaza Tower III across the Tollaway.”

    Built in the 1980s and early 1990s, the Galleria towers range from 24 to 26 stories tall and adjoin the Galleria shopping mall, as well as the four-star, four-diamond Westin Galleria Hotel. Amenities include on-site banking with ATM, security card-key access, conference facilities, a state-of-the-art fitness center, a leasing and management office and an independently-operated day care. The buildings are currently 98% leased.

    Fortis Property Group, LLC is a real estate investment, operating and development company. Its real estate projects include the ownership and management of Class A office and industrial properties located throughout the United States. Fortis currently owns two other Class A office buildings and an industrial property in the Dallas, Texas area. Nationwide, Fortis currently owns more than 20 properties, which contain over six million rentable square feet. Fortis Property Group CEO Jonathan Landau further indicated that Fortis anticipates raising a value-add real estate fund that will invest in Class A office properties in prime office markets throughout the United States.

  • Report this Comment On November 18, 2008, at 2:08 PM, andrewz332 wrote:

    I wonder how Louis Kestenbaum is doing in this current financial climate? I would think that times are tough for investors right now. Louis Kestenbaum made a tremendous amount of money from the looks of things, but times have certainly changed.

  • Report this Comment On December 24, 2008, at 11:47 AM, andrewz332 wrote:

    Is this the same Louis Kestenbaum that's involved in a smear campaign where someone is posting fabricated information about him and his son Joel Kestenbaum?

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